During year one, Shields not
only played, but contributed in a major way. In the regular season,
although he had only two picks, he simply did not give up many big plays. While
I don’t have the time or footage to go back and see if opposing qb’s were
challenging him every game, they would have been crazy not to. Dom Capers has
been known to lean heavily on his cornerbacks to
cover big time receivers man-to-man. Shields was the obvious target to pick on
as Tramon Williams (coincidentally another undrafted rookie free agent) had
already developed into a Pro Bowl corner, and Charles Woodson literally shits interceptions. Not only did the young corner not
give up many big plays, but was also flagged a total of ZERO times during the
regular season. Anybody watching the Packers since the days of Mike McKenzie
and Al Harris knows that we’re a marked team in terms of flags in the
secondary. Whether it’s illegal contact, pass interference, hands to face,
whatever, we’re getting flagged for it. For a rookie to play the entire season
without drawing a single penalty is just phenomenal.
Why don't you take a seat, right over there... |
After relatively quiet playoff
games against the Eagles and the Falcons, Shields exploded onto the national
scene in the biggest non-Superbowl game the Packers have ever played. He had
two interceptions against the Bears at Soldier Field, the second of which
sealed the victory and a Superbowl berth for the Packers. Quick side note on
that last pick, Shields attempted to run the interception back for a touchdown,
and even fumbled it as he was being tackled, even though all he had to do was
take a knee and the game was ours. That was one of the dumbest decisions of the
season, and one that might have cost him his job if it had gone down just a
little differently. Anyone else remember McCarthy literally on the field,
screaming and frantically waving his hands for Shields to get down? That was
the only time I remember Shields acting like an undrafted rookie that didn't know
how to play defense. Anyway, great game and great pick by Shields, just had to
get that off my chest.
Like the entire Packers defense
and secondary, Shields had a down year last year. He could not seem to keep up
quite as well in coverage, and struggled mightily with tackling. Poor tackling
is a quick way to find the bench, but the Packers simply had nobody to replace
him with that could reasonably have been expected to do any better. I fully
expect a bounce back year from Shields in 2012, and I believe the 24 year old
will benefit greatly from an entire offseason program. He no longer has to
worry about making the team or paying the bills, and can focus entirely on
fine-tuning his understanding of the position and the defense.
The market for starting caliber
cornerbacks is thin to say the least, and the ones who become available get
paid a pretty penny (see Nnamdi Asomugha, DeAngelo Hall, Asante Samuel, etc.).
The good news for the Packers is that Shields remains something of an unknown.
His skills at the position still need refining and he’s never really been a
starter. Yes, he covers the outside receiver when in the nickel, but no team
wants Shields covering Calving Johnson or Larry Fitzgerald just yet. His
surprisingly good play as a rookie could have been a fluke. Then again, his
surprisingly bad play as a sophomore could just as easily have been a fluke as
well. I tend to think that Shields is capable of returning to his solid nickel
back play from 2010, and has a chance to develop into the starting corner
opposite Tramon Williams when the time comes.
The uncertainty surrounding
Shields works in the Packers’ favor, and they’d be wise to get a deal done
sooner rather than later. If Shields has a fantastic season in 2012, and the
Packers wait until the offseason to sign him, he’ll command a hefty salary and
bonus. Who wouldn’t want to sign a 25 year old proven corner with tremendous
athletic ability and plenty of post season experience (and success)? Look for
the Packers to lock him up around or before the mid-point of the regular
season. I’m hoping for something in the range of a four year contract, but that
depends heavily on how he performs early on this year. The only way I see the
Packers letting him walk is if he has an absolutely horrible year. If he simply
holds his own at the nickel corner position early on this season, the Packers
have every reason to sign him to a long term deal.
Isn't this Underwood guy a rapist or
something?
|
It’s interesting that with all
the success Ted Thompson has had in the draft with the Packers, he has never
drafted a cornerback that has lived up to expectations. Mike Hawkins, Will
Blackmon, Pat Lee, Brandon Underwood, any of those names strike you as shut
down corners? Now, he’s had great success acquiring corners in the free agent
market, but you can’t go to that well too many times. There are dozens of
corners ripe for the picking each year in the draft, but you can never depend
on free agent availability.
It’s for these reasons, and the
fact that Charles Woodson isn’t getting any younger, that I think Sam Shields
is the most urgent pending free agent for the Packers to resign. Certainly Greg
Jennings and possibly TJ Lang are more important, but the Shields deal should
get done first. Ask Minnesota what they’d be willing to pay for a productive
young corner, then ask yourself if you really want to get into that bidding
war.
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